SignalMacro

CBOE Nasdaq Volatility $19.92 ↓ 1.6% 0th %ile • KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — 32,000 to 32,499.99

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 0th in 90d range

Why it matters

Volatility at 0th percentile signals complacency, while 4.0% odds on a 2026 Nasdaq range reflect low conviction.

Sources

futures